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Mentions Markets

What are Mentions Markets?

Mentions markets are event contracts based on whether a specific person, team, or organization will say a particular word or phrase during a defined event or time period — like a game broadcast, press conference, interview, or speech.

Instead of predicting a game outcome or stat line, you're predicting speech. For example: "What will the Announcers say during the game?" or "Will the head coach say 'defense' during the postgame press conference?"

When does it have to be said?

The relevant window — the "time period" — can be defined a number of ways: a specific event (like a press conference or broadcast), an exact date or range of dates, or relative windows (e.g., "before July 1" or "during Q1 2026"). Unless stated otherwise:

  • "Between" includes both endpoints

  • "Before" and "after" exclude the specified date

  • Times are assumed to be ET unless otherwise noted

If the time period is tied to a specific event, only content that's part of the official presentation counts — including pre-recorded segments that air as part of the broadcast. Behind-the-scenes footage, rehearsals, sound checks, and unofficial recordings do not count unless they're officially published as part of the event.

Cancellations and postponements

  • If an "Event does not qualify/occur" outcome is offered and the event is cancelled or otherwise fails to resolve normally, that outcome resolves "Yes" and all others resolve "No."

  • If no such outcome is offered and the event is cancelled, the market settles at the last fair price.

  • If the event is postponed and a new date is announced within one calendar day, the market stays open as long as the rescheduled event happens within 14 calendar days of the original date — mentions during the rescheduled event still count.

  • If no new date is announced within one day, or the reschedule falls outside the 14-day window, the market settles at the last fair price.

  • If the event starts but ends early or is interrupted, mentions during the portion that did occur still count.

Settlement

  • Markets settle based on official recordings, transcripts, or reporting from the designated source agency (or hierarchy of agencies) for that event.

  • If a result can't be confirmed through those sources, the market settles at the last fair price.

  • Settlement occurs no later than the day after the event's expiration date.

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