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Prediction Picks (Esports)

Settlement rules for esports prediction picks

Unless a rule includes a provider-specific exception below, it applies to all three providers (UDX, Kalshi, Crypto/Nadex).

What happens if a team forfeits or withdraws?

If a team forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any other official action to remove themselves from being able to achieve the relevant outcome — such as withdrawing from the events that will determine the result — the market will resolve to "No" for that team.

If a forfeit occurs without any play having occurred in the match, regardless if a team is credited with a win, the market resolves to the last fair price.

What happens if a match ends early or is cut short?

If the official result is reported even though the event or events necessary for determining that result were truncated or ended early, the market will settle based on that reported result.

What happens if an event is moved earlier than its originally scheduled date?

If the event is moved up earlier than its originally scheduled date, then the market will remain open and will resolve after the result is reported.

What happens if a team is disqualified?

If a team is disqualified before the contract expires — even if the final event necessary to determine the result has already concluded — the market for that team will resolve to "No."

If the disqualification causes another team to be reported as the official result, the contract will settle on the basis of whichever team is reported as the official result.

What happens if an event is postponed?

If the final event is postponed, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official result once play is completed, provided the event begins play within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start date (and the rescheduling is announced within one week of the originally scheduled start date). If the event is postponed further, the market will resolve at the last fair price.

What happens if an event is suspended?

If the final event is suspended, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official result once play is completed, provided the event begins play within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start date. If the event is postponed further, the market will resolve at the last fair price.

What happens if an event is cancelled outright?

If the final event is cancelled before it concludes — or if the achievement will have no official result — markets for eligible teams (those not already disqualified or eliminated) will resolve so "Yes" holders receive the last traded price prior to cancellation, and "No" holders receive $1 minus that amount.

Full Rules

For complete rules, reference the market provider's full rulebook:

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